in Mobile

Smartphone market data by Symbian


“Here are three pages extracted from a slideshow given by David Wood, EVP Research, Symbian, at MobileHCI 04. The first is Smartphone BOM costs which charts the decrease of the cost of the hardware bill of materials over time in great detail. The second is Smartphone addressable market which forecasts the size of the smartphone market as part of the overall cell phone market, cross referenced to the decrease in BOM cost. Finally there is Symbian’s public products an infographic of the panoply of phones based on Symbian up to the end of 2004. These images were all extracted from the talk “Wide commercial adoption of improvements in Mobile HCI” for which you can still get the slides”

Go visit the above URL to download the documents.

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  • A-Clue.Com, Journalism, Peter Roff, Cellular Industry, Mobile Telephony Clued-in, Clueless; newsletter of 10/25/2004 - from Dana Blankenhorn at

    […] I work as a freelance writer in Atlanta, and am on the development team for EgoScout , a new kind of marketplace for cellular data services. My last book, “The Blankenhorn Effect” won the Computer/Internet category in the 2003 Independent Publisher (IPPY) awards . You have my permission to forward this newsletter widely. And if you have trouble subscribing let me know. Remember: it’s journalism that keeps the Clues coming… top Takes on the News Whither Wi-Fi? Wireless broadband, defined under the 802.11 and 802.16 standards, is at a crossroads. Will it become ubiquitous or will it remain, as it was intended to be, a Local Area Networking technology? SBC sees Wi-Fi as a route toward dominance over its cellular competitors (like Verizon). It wants to combine its paid FreedomLink hotspots with its Cingular cellular service . (T-Mobile has the same idea.) But the actual cost of setting up a hotspot continues moving toward zero, and the financial value of a hotspot seems to be limited to a meal or a cup of coffee. Given a choice between free and paid hotspots, people will choose free. WanderPort sees Wi-Fi as fill-in capacity , something you can put on a truck to deliver broadband where it’s needed. Agere is moving away from stand-alone Wi-Fi toward Wi-Fi as a voice service, integrated with cellular into one seamless whole. This is happening because, so far, Wi-Fi has failed to fulfill its promise. It’s not breaking out of the gadget freak and early adopter markets, so suppliers are turning in desperation to business and carrier customers. Yet In-Stat says the big money over the next four years will come in consumer electronics . If Wi-Fi is seen only as a way to move around voice, or even video, it will never fulfill its potential. It must be seen as a platform for Always-On applications, as a way to take and analyze new kinds of data, as a way to make your home work better and ease your way of life. For that to happen Wi-Fi base stations must be built on a modular, scalable, robust operating system. Until someone can sell and deliver this vision Wi-Fi will not reach its potential. top Serious Mobile Tools Symbian-based phones are not serious mobile tools. As functions are added to them they go from being simply phones (which is a good thing) to being virtual Swiss Army Knives, collections of nearly unrelated parts (which is a bad thing). A serious tool will bring these parts together into a concrete whole, based again on a robust, scalable, modular operating system. This allows you to combine tools into new types of applications, replicating and (in time) replacing your computing environment. If VOIP has taught us anything it’s that voice is a low-bandwidth application. As bandwidth rises its priority goes down. It becomes valuable only as it is combined with other features, computer-based features, and computers provide a better interface for computer-based features than phones do. This doesn’t mean phones will disappear. The value of a phone is still enormous, especially in the developing world. But that’s not where the big money is going to be. The big money is going to be in applications, in the serious combination of applications into useful work, or useful play. Palm, RIM and Microsoft are furthest down this road. What I wanna know is when will IBM release a mobile operating system, perhaps based on embedded Linux, that can be used to make serious, and seriously small, tools. If it doesn’t happen then Windows wins the game. If it does then it’s game on again. Click Fraud Adam Penenberg complains that the FTC is doing nothing about click fraud, the false generation of clicks on ads meant to generate revenue on the advertisement without generating anything for the advertiser . It’s a big problem, a growing problem, but the answer doesn’t lie in government. It lies in the medium, in free enterprise. In this case, it lies with Google. Penenberg’s real story is that Google (and its competitors) are standing helplessly by while gray market outsourcers steal from them. This doesn’t have to be the case. Because a click is just one step down a sales funnel, only one point at which an advertiser can pay. There are other points. You can pay based on a completed form, or a subscription, or a sale. You can wait to pay until these forms, subscriptions and sales are verified, and paid for. These things are very hard to fake, and when they’re faked there exist easy ways to go after people. Render onto Caesar only those problems which are Caesar’s, and leave the rest to the market. top Clued-in, Clueless Clued-in is Russell Beattie who is steadily proving himself as a great new analyst in the world of mobility and mobile platforms. Keep up the great work, Russell. Clueless is overreaction to a study indicating analog mobile phones may increase the risk of a benign tumor . This should be seen as an opportunity to redefine and reinvent mobile platforms, rather than as an excuse to say the sky is falling. top A-Clue.Com is a free email publication, registered with the U.S. Copyright Office as number TXu 888-819. We’re on the Web at Home | Dana’s Bio | Clued-In Archive | Newsletter ’02 Archive | | Subscribe! […]